postnormal analysis futures studies manufactured normalcy fields postnormal shifts levels of uncertainty/ignorance postnormal burst lag tilt COVID-19
This essay addresses the COVID-19 pandemic as a case study in postnormal times phenomena: a perfect postnormal storm. The essay introduces basic concepts of postnormal analysis and provides examples of the acceleration of speed, scope, scale, and simultaneity of change in a number of human and natural systems and gives examples of the accelerating complexity, chaos, and contradictions that characterize phenomenon and systems as they become more postnormal. The related concepts of the layers of ignorance and uncertainty are explored related to the movement of phenomenon toward postnormal states. The importance of the idea of manufactured normalcy fields and resistance to or accommodation of postnormal burst, such as lag and tilt, can help to better understand the postnormal landscape. For example, the pros and cons of returning to “normal” raise fundamental questions about the logic and wisdom of the dominant growth and economic paradigm.
Details
Title
The Perfect Postnormal Storm: COVID-19 Chronicles (2020 Edition)
Authors
Christopher Jones (Author) - Walden University
Jordi Serra del Pino (Author) - Universitat Ramon Llull
Liam Mayo (Author) - University of the Sunshine Coast, Queensland, School of Health and Behavioural Sciences - Legacy