Logo image
The Perfect Postnormal Storm: COVID-19 Chronicles (2020 Edition)
Journal article   Open access   Peer reviewed

The Perfect Postnormal Storm: COVID-19 Chronicles (2020 Edition)

Christopher Jones, Jordi Serra del Pino and Liam Mayo
World Futures Review, Vol.13(2), pp.71-85
2021
PMCID: PMC8246122
PMID: 38603138
Appears in  COVID-19 Research
pdf
The Perfect Postnormal Storm - COVID-19 Chronicles (2020 Edition)567.81 kBDownloadView
Published Version Open Access CC BY V4.0
url
https://doi.org/10.1177/19467567211027345View
Published Version Open

Abstract

postnormal analysis futures studies manufactured normalcy fields postnormal shifts levels of uncertainty/ignorance postnormal burst lag tilt COVID-19
This essay addresses the COVID-19 pandemic as a case study in postnormal times phenomena: a perfect postnormal storm. The essay introduces basic concepts of postnormal analysis and provides examples of the acceleration of speed, scope, scale, and simultaneity of change in a number of human and natural systems and gives examples of the accelerating complexity, chaos, and contradictions that characterize phenomenon and systems as they become more postnormal. The related concepts of the layers of ignorance and uncertainty are explored related to the movement of phenomenon toward postnormal states. The importance of the idea of manufactured normalcy fields and resistance to or accommodation of postnormal burst, such as lag and tilt, can help to better understand the postnormal landscape. For example, the pros and cons of returning to “normal” raise fundamental questions about the logic and wisdom of the dominant growth and economic paradigm.

Details

Metrics

3 File views/ downloads
31 Record Views
Logo image