Simulating the dynamic effect of land use and transport policies on the development and health of populations

Roderick McClure; Claudia Adriazola-Steil; Christine Mulvihill; Michael Fitzharris; Paul M Salmon; Paul Bonnington; Mark Stevenson

doi:10.2105/AJPH.2014.302303

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Simulating the dynamic effect of land use and transport policies on the development and health of populations

Journal article

Peer reviewed

Simulating the dynamic effect of land use and transport policies on the development and health of populations

Roderick McClure, Claudia Adriazola-Steil, Christine Mulvihill, Michael Fitzharris, Paul M Salmon, Paul Bonnington and Mark Stevenson

American Journal of Public Health, Vol.105(Supplement 2), pp.S223-S229

2015

DOI: https://doi.org/10.2105/AJPH.2014.302303

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Abstract

land use

transport policies

development

Objectives. We identified the features of a land use-transportation system that optimizes the health and well-being of the population. Methods. We developed a quantitative system dynamics model to represent relationships among land use, transport, economic development, and population health. Simulation experiments were conducted over a 10-year simulation period to compare the effect of different baseline conditions and land use-transport policies on the number of motor vehicle crash deaths and disability-adjusted life years lost. Results. Optimal reduction in the public health burden attributable to land transport was demonstrated when transport safety risk reduction policies were combined with land use and transport polices that minimized reliance on individual motorized transport and maximized use of active transport modes. The model's results were particularly sensitive to the level of development that characterized each city at the start of the simulation period. Conclusions. Local, national, and international decision-makers are encouraged to address transport, land use, and health as an integrated whole to achieve the desired societal benefits of traffic safety, population health, and social equity.

Details

Title: Simulating the dynamic effect of land use and transport policies on the development and health of populations
Authors: Roderick McClure (Author) - Harvard School of Public Health, United States
Claudia Adriazola-Steil (Author) - World Resources Institute, United States
Christine Mulvihill (Author) - Monash University
Michael Fitzharris (Author) - Monash University
Paul M Salmon (Author) - University of the Sunshine Coast - Faculty of Arts and Business
Paul Bonnington (Author) - Monash University
Mark Stevenson (Author) - Monash University
Publication details: American Journal of Public Health, Vol.105(Supplement 2), pp.S223-S229
Publisher: American Public Health Association
Date published: 2015
DOI: 10.2105/AJPH.2014.302303
ISSN: 0090-0036
Organisation Unit: Centre for Human Factors and Systems Science; University of the Sunshine Coast, Queensland; School of Law and Society
Language: English
Record Identifier: 99448938802621
Output Type: Journal article

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