Reconciling development and conservation under coastal squeeze from rising sea-level

M Mills; Javier X Leon; M I Saunders; J Bell; Y Liu; J O'Mara; C E Lovelock; P J Mumby; S R Phinn; H P Possingham; V J Tulloch; K Mutafoglu; T Morrison; D P Callaghan; T E Baldock; C J Klein; O Hoegh-Guldberg

doi:10.1111/conl.12213

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Reconciling development and conservation under coastal squeeze from rising sea-level

Journal article

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Reconciling development and conservation under coastal squeeze from rising sea-level

M Mills, Javier X Leon, M I Saunders, J Bell, Y Liu, J O'Mara, C E Lovelock, P J Mumby, S R Phinn, H P Possingham, …

Conservation Letters, Vol.9(5), pp.361-368

2016

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/conl.12213

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Abstract

climate change

planning

coastal squeeze

priority setting

adaptation

sea level rise

retreat

managed realignment

defend

coast

Among the biggest global challenges for policymakers is the development of land use policies robust to climate change impacts. While diverse fields can inform adaptation, integrated social-ecological assessment of the multiple adaptation options are rare and cannot be easily applied. Here, we build on past studies by undertaking an integrated fine scale and strategic allocation of sea level rise (SLR) adaptation options that can direct policy making. We use models of probabilistic SLR inundation, urban growth, and sub and intertidal ecosystem migration, to investigate the impacts of different SLR adaptation strategies, and how these can be allocated to best achieve both development and conservation goals. Coastal adaptation will involve trade-offs among development and conservation objectives and these will vary based on the extent to which sea levels rise. There will be trade-offs between conservation objectives regardless of the adaptation options chosen, however retreat does provide opportunities for enabling the expansion of coastal ecosystems inland. Local governments can save billions of dollars and minimise political conflict between conservation and development goals through integrated strategic spatial planning. Our planning approach both informs policy and is transferable to other coastal regions faced with a rising sea.

Details

Title: Reconciling development and conservation under coastal squeeze from rising sea-level
Authors: M Mills (Author) - University of Queensland
Javier X Leon (Author) - University of the Sunshine Coast - Faculty of Science, Health, Education and Engineering
M I Saunders (Author) - University of Queensland
J Bell (Author) - University of Queensland
Y Liu (Author) - University of Queensland
J O'Mara (Author) - SE Queensland Catchments
C E Lovelock (Author) - University of Queensland
P J Mumby (Author) - University of Queensland
S R Phinn (Author) - University of Queensland
H P Possingham (Author) - University of Queensland
V J Tulloch (Author) - University of Queensland
K Mutafoglu (Author) - University of Queensland
T Morrison (Author) - University of Queensland
D P Callaghan (Author) - University of Queensland
T E Baldock (Author) - University of Queensland
C J Klein (Author) - University of Queensland
O Hoegh-Guldberg (Author) - University of Queensland
Publication details: Conservation Letters, Vol.9(5), pp.361-368
Publisher: Wiley-Blackwell Publishing Ltd.
Date published: 2016
DOI: 10.1111/conl.12213
ISSN: 1755-263X
Copyright note: Copyright © 2015 The Authors. Conservation Letters published by Wiley Periodicals, Inc. This is an open access article under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits use, distribution and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
Organisation Unit: School of Science and Engineering - Legacy; University of the Sunshine Coast, Queensland; School of Science, Technology and Engineering; Sustainability Research Cluster
Language: English
Record Identifier: 99449477802621
Output Type: Journal article

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Web Of Science research areas: Biodiversity Conservation

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