Journal article
Rainfall persistence: Detection, modelling, costs and value of probability information
Agricultural Systems, Vol.6(4), pp.285-302
1981
Abstract
The basic hypothesis discussed in this paper is that the presence of persistence or bunchiness in rainfall sequences reduces farm profitability. After a review of past investigations into rainfall persistence, statistical tests are shown to indicate positive inter-temporal correlations in excess of seasonality for weekly and monthly precipitation data from three recording stations in the northern Brigalow region of Queensland. A relatively simple procedure is advanced for generating artificial rainfall sequences containing persistence. Simulation experiments with a grazing-property model incorporating this synthesis procedure are used to test the basic hypothesis. Results indicate substantial reductions in both income and the rate of asset accumulation due to persistence in weekly rainfall. Finally, provision of meteorological information on persistence in the form of conditional rainfall probabilities is proposed, and a simulation and decision theory approach is suggested for determining the potential value of such information. © 1981.
Details
- Title
- Rainfall persistence: Detection, modelling, costs and value of probability information
- Authors
- Steve R Harrison (Author) - University of Queensland
- Publication details
- Agricultural Systems, Vol.6(4), pp.285-302
- Publisher
- Elsevier BV
- Date published
- 1981
- DOI
- 10.1016/0308-521X(81)90064-0
- ISSN
- 0308-521X
- Organisation Unit
- University of the Sunshine Coast, Queensland
- Language
- English
- Record Identifier
- 99450477802621
- Output Type
- Journal article
Metrics
448 Record Views
InCites Highlights
These are selected metrics from InCites Benchmarking & Analytics tool, related to this output
- Web Of Science research areas
- Agriculture, Multidisciplinary
UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)
This output has contributed to the advancement of the following goals:
Source: InCites