Journal article
Questioning Scenarios
Journal of Futures Studies, Vol.13(3), pp.75-80
2009
Abstract
With a lead article from Graham Molitor, this symposium on scenario planning brings together scenario planning practitioners and theorists to debate the question: Is scenario planning worth the effort? Molitor, with his fifty years as a futurist argues that scenario planning is not worth the effort.He writes: "I can't recall any personal experience with scenario exercises that was worth the time and effort spent. Among major companies, business groups, and government offices I never saw scenarios make any major contribution or breakthrough despite what some colleagues bragabout." Worse, for Molitor, scenarios reinforce the present, thus defeating the purpose of most futuristic projects, which is to create a distance from the present so the present and thereby future (and even the interpretation of the past) can be transformed. He writes: "At best, most scenarios merely reinforceand regard what participants already basically knew."
Details
- Title
- Questioning Scenarios
- Authors
- Sohail Inayatullah (Author) - University of the Sunshine Coast - Faculty of Arts and Social Sciences
- Publication details
- Journal of Futures Studies, Vol.13(3), pp.75-80
- Publisher
- Graduate Institute of Futures Studies, Tamkang University
- Date published
- 2009
- ISSN
- 1027-6084
- Copyright note
- Copyright © 2009 Graduate Institute of Futures Studies, Tamkang University. Reproduced with permission of the copyright holder.
- Organisation Unit
- School of Social Sciences - Legacy; University of the Sunshine Coast, Queensland; Sustainability Research Cluster
- Language
- English
- Record Identifier
- 99449875502621
- Output Type
- Journal article
Metrics
166 File views/ downloads
527 Record Views