Outstanding Challenges in the Transferability of Ecological Models

Katherine L Yates; Phil J Bouchet; M Julian Caley; Kerrie Mengersen; Christophe F Randin; Stephen Parnell; Alan H Fielding; Andrew J Bamford; Stephen Ban; A Márcia Barbosa; Carsten F Dormann; Jane Elith; Clare B Embling; Gary N Ervin; Rebecca Fisher; Susan Gould; Roland F Graf; Edward J Gregr; Patrick N Halpin; Risto K Heikkinen; Stefan Heinänen; Alice R Jones; Periyadan K Krishnakumar; Valentina Lauria; Hector Lozano-Montes; Laura Mannocci; Camille Mellin; Mohsen B Mesgaran; Elena Moreno-Amat; Sophie Mormede; Emilie Novaczek; Steffen Oppel; Guillermo Ortuño Crespo; A Townsend Peterson; Giovanni Rapacciuolo; Jason J Roberts; Rebecca E Ross; Kylie L Scales; David S Schoeman; Paul Snelgrove; Göran Sundblad; Wilfried Thuiller; Leigh G Torres; Heroen Verbruggen; Lifei Wang; Seth Wenger; Mark J Whittingham; Yuri Zharikov; Damaris Zurell; Ana M M Sequeira

doi:10.1016/j.tree.2018.08.001

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Outstanding Challenges in the Transferability of Ecological Models

Journal article

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Outstanding Challenges in the Transferability of Ecological Models

Katherine L Yates, Phil J Bouchet, M Julian Caley, Kerrie Mengersen, Christophe F Randin, Stephen Parnell, Alan H Fielding, Andrew J Bamford, Stephen Ban, A Márcia Barbosa, …

Trends in ecology & evolution, Vol.33(10), pp.790-802

2018

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tree.2018.08.001

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Abstract

predictive modeling

model transfers

species distribution models

habitat models

extrapolation

generality

uncertainty

Predictive models are central to many scientiï¬c disciplines and vital for informingmanagement in a rapidly changing world. However, limited understanding of theaccuracy and precision of models transferred to novel conditions (their 'trans-ferability') undermines conï¬dence in their predictions. Here, 50 experts identiï¬edpriority knowledge gaps which, if ï¬lled, will most improve model transfers. Theseare summarized into six technical and six fundamental challenges, which underliethe combined need to intensify research on the determinants of ecologicalpredictability, including species traits and data quality, and develop best prac-tices for transferring models. Of high importance is the identiï¬cation of a widelyapplicable set of transferability metrics, with appropriate tools to quantify thesources and impacts of prediction uncertainty under novel conditions.

Details

Title: Outstanding Challenges in the Transferability of Ecological Models
Authors: Katherine L Yates (Author)
Phil J Bouchet (Author)
M Julian Caley (Author)
Kerrie Mengersen (Author)
Christophe F Randin (Author)
Stephen Parnell (Author)
Alan H Fielding (Author)
Andrew J Bamford (Author)
Stephen Ban (Author)
A Márcia Barbosa (Author)
Carsten F Dormann (Author)
Jane Elith (Author)
Clare B Embling (Author)
Gary N Ervin (Author)
Rebecca Fisher (Author)
Susan Gould (Author)
Roland F Graf (Author)
Edward J Gregr (Author)
Patrick N Halpin (Author)
Risto K Heikkinen (Author)
Stefan Heinänen (Author)
Alice R Jones (Author)
Periyadan K Krishnakumar (Author)
Valentina Lauria (Author)
Hector Lozano-Montes (Author)
Laura Mannocci (Author)
Camille Mellin (Author)
Mohsen B Mesgaran (Author)
Elena Moreno-Amat (Author)
Sophie Mormede (Author)
Emilie Novaczek (Author)
Steffen Oppel (Author)
Guillermo Ortuño Crespo (Author)
A Townsend Peterson (Author)
Giovanni Rapacciuolo (Author)
Jason J Roberts (Author)
Rebecca E Ross (Author)
Kylie L Scales (Author) - University of the Sunshine Coast - Faculty of Science, Health, Education and Engineering
David S Schoeman (Author)
Paul Snelgrove (Author)
Göran Sundblad (Author)
Wilfried Thuiller (Author)
Leigh G Torres (Author)
Heroen Verbruggen (Author)
Lifei Wang (Author)
Seth Wenger (Author)
Mark J Whittingham (Author)
Yuri Zharikov (Author)
Damaris Zurell (Author)
Ana M M Sequeira (Author)
Publication details: Trends in ecology & evolution, Vol.33(10), pp.790-802
Publisher: Elsevier Ltd.
Date published: 2018
DOI: 10.1016/j.tree.2018.08.001
ISSN: 0169-5347
Copyright note: Copyright © 2018 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/)
Organisation Unit: School of Science and Engineering - Legacy; School of Science, Technology and Engineering
Language: English
Record Identifier: 99450669102621
Output Type: Journal article

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Collaboration types: Domestic collaboration; International collaboration
Web Of Science research areas: Ecology; Evolutionary Biology; Genetics & Heredity

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