Journal article
Outstanding Challenges in the Transferability of Ecological Models
Trends in ecology & evolution, Vol.33(10), pp.790-802
2018
PMID: 30166069
Abstract
Predictive models are central to many scientiï¬c disciplines and vital for informingmanagement in a rapidly changing world. However, limited understanding of theaccuracy and precision of models transferred to novel conditions (their 'trans-ferability') undermines conï¬dence in their predictions. Here, 50 experts identiï¬edpriority knowledge gaps which, if ï¬lled, will most improve model transfers. Theseare summarized into six technical and six fundamental challenges, which underliethe combined need to intensify research on the determinants of ecologicalpredictability, including species traits and data quality, and develop best prac-tices for transferring models. Of high importance is the identiï¬cation of a widelyapplicable set of transferability metrics, with appropriate tools to quantify thesources and impacts of prediction uncertainty under novel conditions.
Details
- Title
- Outstanding Challenges in the Transferability of Ecological Models
- Authors
- Katherine L Yates (Author)Phil J Bouchet (Author)M Julian Caley (Author)Kerrie Mengersen (Author)Christophe F Randin (Author)Stephen Parnell (Author)Alan H Fielding (Author)Andrew J Bamford (Author)Stephen Ban (Author)A Márcia Barbosa (Author)Carsten F Dormann (Author)Jane Elith (Author)Clare B Embling (Author)Gary N Ervin (Author)Rebecca Fisher (Author)Susan Gould (Author)Roland F Graf (Author)Edward J Gregr (Author)Patrick N Halpin (Author)Risto K Heikkinen (Author)Stefan Heinänen (Author)Alice R Jones (Author)Periyadan K Krishnakumar (Author)Valentina Lauria (Author)Hector Lozano-Montes (Author)Laura Mannocci (Author)Camille Mellin (Author)Mohsen B Mesgaran (Author)Elena Moreno-Amat (Author)Sophie Mormede (Author)Emilie Novaczek (Author)Steffen Oppel (Author)Guillermo Ortuño Crespo (Author)A Townsend Peterson (Author)Giovanni Rapacciuolo (Author)Jason J Roberts (Author)Rebecca E Ross (Author)Kylie L Scales (Author) - University of the Sunshine Coast - Faculty of Science, Health, Education and EngineeringDavid S Schoeman (Author)Paul Snelgrove (Author)Göran Sundblad (Author)Wilfried Thuiller (Author)Leigh G Torres (Author)Heroen Verbruggen (Author)Lifei Wang (Author)Seth Wenger (Author)Mark J Whittingham (Author)Yuri Zharikov (Author)Damaris Zurell (Author)Ana M M Sequeira (Author)
- Publication details
- Trends in ecology & evolution, Vol.33(10), pp.790-802
- Publisher
- Elsevier Ltd.
- Date published
- 2018
- DOI
- 10.1016/j.tree.2018.08.001
- ISSN
- 0169-5347
- PMID
- 30166069
- Copyright note
- Copyright © 2018 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/)
- Organisation Unit
- School of Science and Engineering - Legacy; School of Science, Technology and Engineering
- Language
- English
- Record Identifier
- 99450669102621
- Output Type
- Journal article
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- Web Of Science research areas
- Ecology
- Evolutionary Biology
- Genetics & Heredity
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