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Monitoring Extent of Mangroves in Coastal Bangladesh from 1980 to 2020: A Remote Sensing-Based Geospatial Analysis
Journal article   Open access   Peer reviewed

Monitoring Extent of Mangroves in Coastal Bangladesh from 1980 to 2020: A Remote Sensing-Based Geospatial Analysis

Muhammad Al-Amin Hoque, Maliha Sanzana Misty, Khandaker Tanvir Hossain and Sharif A. Mukul
Small-Scale Forestry, Vol.Advanced access
29-Jul-2026
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s11842-026-09649-23.33 MBDownloadView
Published Version (Advanced Access) Open Access CC BY V4.0

Abstract

Mangrove forest Coastal ecosystem Active delta Climate change mitigation Bangladesh
Mangrove ecosystems play a vital role in coastal protection, biodiversity conservation, and climate regulation, yet their spatiotemporal dynamics within highly geomorphologically active deltaic environments remain insufficiently understood. This study aimed to map long-term changes in mangrove distribution, quantify mangrove gain and loss patterns, identify dominant land-cover transition pathways, and evaluate the influence of erosion-accretion processes on mangrove dynamics in the Meghna Estuary of coastal Bangladesh using a remote sensing-based geospatial framework spanning 1980-2020. Multi-temporal Landsat imagery was processed through standardized pre-processing, NDVI analysis, and supervised Maximum Likelihood land-use/land-cover classification to quantify mangrove extent, spatial trajectories, and gain-loss dynamics. Post-classification change detection and trajectory analysis were employed to evaluate transitions between mangrove, waterbody, vegetation, and agricultural classes. Results reveal a highly dynamic coastal system characterized by alternating phases of mangrove expansion and contraction primarily driven by erosion-accretion processes. Mangrove cover exhibited a net increase of 158.9 km2 over four decades, with major gains occurred during 1990-1995 and 2000-2005, primarily due to sediment deposition and natural colonization on newly formed mudflats. Conversely, notable declines between 2005 and 2016 were associated with shoreline erosion and channel migration. Land-trajectory analysis highlights dominant waterbody-to-mangrove transitions, emphasizing the importance of geomorphological processes in shaping ecosystem regeneration and resilience. Despite overall expansion, continuous spatial redistribution indicates ecosystem fragility, with gains concentrated on accretion-prone surfaces and losses along erosion-prone margins. The findings provide the first comprehensive four-decade spatial assessment of mangrove dynamics in the Meghna Estuary, offering critical evidence for adaptive coastal management, ecosystem restoration, and nature-based climate mitigation in Bangladesh.

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