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Is Tourism in Lebanon Subject to Permanent or Transitory Exogenous Shocks?
Journal article   Open access   Peer reviewed

Is Tourism in Lebanon Subject to Permanent or Transitory Exogenous Shocks?

Charbel Bassil, Ali Salman Saleh and Sajid Anwar
Tourism Analysis, Vol.19(6), pp.781-790
2014
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url
https://doi.org/10.3727/108354214X14146846679682View
Published Version

Abstract

Lebanon structural breaks tourism unit root tests visitor arrivals
The tourism industry makes a significant contribution to Lebanese gross domestic product (GDP). Lebanon has been rocked by political instability and regional conflicts over the past several decades. These exogenous shocks can adversely affect visitor arrivals. Using monthly data from 2008 to 2013, this article attempts to identify some statistically significant shocks to visitor arrivals to Lebanon and their nature (i.e., whether or not the impact of the shocks was temporary). The empirical analysis based on univariate as well as panel unit root testing procedures, where structural breaks are endogenously determined, suggests that at least one exogenous shock has significantly affected tourist arrivals to Lebanon. However, in overall terms, the impact of these shocks on visitor arrivals has been temporary.

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Hospitality, Leisure, Sport & Tourism

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#8 Decent Work and Economic Growth

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