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How much running is too much? Identifying high-risk running sessions in a 5200-person cohort study
Journal article   Open access   Peer reviewed

How much running is too much? Identifying high-risk running sessions in a 5200-person cohort study

Jesper Schuster Brandt Frandsen, Adam Hulme, Erik Thorlund Parner, Merete Møller, Ida Lindman, Josefin Abrahamson, Nina Sjørup Simonsen, Julie Sandell Jacobsen, Daniel Ramskov, Sebastian Skejø, …
British Journal of Sports Medicine, Vol.59(17), pp.1203-1210
2025
PMCID: PMC12421110
PMID: 40623829
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Published Version Open Access CC BY-NC V4.0

Abstract

Athletic Injuries Original research Running Sporting injuries Sports medicine
Objectives: We explored whether a spike in running distance during a single session or over 1 week, compared with the preceding period, was associated with increased risk of running-related overuse injury. Methods: Adult runners were recruited for an 18-month cohort study. Three training-related exposures were defined based on a relative change in running distance, using data collected via Garmin devices: (1) session-specific running distance relative to the longest distance run in the past 30 days; (2) 1-week period relative to the preceding 3 weeks using the acute:chronic workload ratio (ACWR); (3) 1-week period using a week-to-week ratio. Runners were categorised into one of four time-varying states: (1) regression, or up to 10% increase (reference); (2) ‘small spike’ between >10% and 30% increase; (3) ‘moderate spike’ between >30% and 100% increase; and (4) ‘large spike’ >100% increase. Outcome was self-reported overuse running-related injury. A multistate Cox regression model was used to estimate adjusted hazard rate ratios (HRR). Results: Among 5205 runners (mean age 45.8 years, SD=10.4; 22% female), a total of 1820 (35%) sustained a running-related injury during 588 071 sessions. Significantly increased rates were identified for small spikes (HRR=1.64 (95% CI: 1.31 to 2.05, p=0.01)), moderate spikes (HRR=1.52 (95% CI: 1.16 to 2.00, p<0.01)) and large spikes (HRR=2.28 (95% CI: 1.50 to 3.48, p<0.01)) in single-session running distance. A negative dose-response relationship was observed for the ACWR. No relationship was identified for the week-to-week ratio. Conclusion: A significant increase in the rate of running-related overuse injury was found when the distance of a single running session exceeded 10% of the longest run undertaken in the last 30 days.

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