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Growth and the Balance of Payments Constraint
Journal article   Peer reviewed

Growth and the Balance of Payments Constraint

William R J Alexander and A B King
Economia Internazionale, Vol.52(4), pp.405-425
1999
url
http://www.ge.camcom.gov.it/IT/Page/t01/view_html?idp=767View
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Abstract

Economic Theory Thirlwall's law growth balance of payments
Thirlwall's law posits that a country's economic growth rate (relative to that of the rest of the world) depends on the ratio of its export's income elasticity of demand to that of its imports. Empirical studies of this hypothesis have been almost entirely supportive, but we argue that the method used is flawed due to its reliance on least-squares estimates of the income elasticities. Using the Johansen procedure, we test for a long-run relationship between domestic and world income for the G7 nations and find little evidence that Thirlwall's law holds.

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