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Evidence of thermophilization in Afromontane forests
Journal article   Open access   Peer reviewed

Evidence of thermophilization in Afromontane forests

Aida Cuni-Sanchez, Emanuel H. Martin, Eustrate Uzabaho, Alain S. K. Ngute, Robert Bitariho, Charles Kayijamahe, Andrew R. Marshall, Nassoro A. Mohamed, Gideon A. Mseja, Aventino Nkwasibwe, …
Nature Communications, Vol.15, pp.1-9
2024
PMID: 38987543
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Published VersionCC BY V4.0 Open Access

Abstract

biogeography climate-change ecology
Thermophilization is the directional change in species community composition towards greater relative abundances of species associated with warmer environments. This process is well-documented in temperate and Neotropical plant communities, but it is uncertain whether this phenomenon occurs elsewhere in the tropics. Here we extend the search for thermophilization to equatorial Africa, where lower tree diversity compared to other tropical forest regions and different biogeographic history could affect community responses to climate change. Using re-census data from 17 forest plots in three mountain regions of Africa, we find a consistent pattern of thermophilization in tree communities. Mean rates of thermophilization were +0.0086 °C·y−1 in the Kigezi Highlands (Uganda), +0.0032 °C·y−1 in the Virunga Mountains (Rwanda-Uganda-Democratic Republic of the Congo) and +0.0023 °C·y−1 in the Udzungwa Mountains (Tanzania). Distinct from other forests, both recruitment and mortality were important drivers of thermophilzation in the African plots. The forests studied currently act as a carbon sink, but the consequences of further thermophilization are unclear.

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