Estimating the future burden of cancers preventable by better diet and physical activity in Australia

P D Baade; X Meng; C Sinclair; Philippa H Youl

doi:10.5694/mja11.11082

Back

Estimating the future burden of cancers preventable by better diet and physical activity in Australia

Journal article

Open access

Peer reviewed

Estimating the future burden of cancers preventable by better diet and physical activity in Australia

P D Baade, X Meng, C Sinclair and Philippa H Youl

Medical Journal of Australia, Vol.196(5), pp.337-340

2012

DOI: https://doi.org/10.5694/mja11.11082

Files and links (2)

pdf

PDF - Published Version254.11 kBDownload View

Published Version PDF - Published Version Open Access

url

https://doi.org/10.5694/mja11.11082View

Published Version

Abstract

Objective: To estimate the number of cancers to be diagnosed in 2025 that could be prevented solely due to changes in diet and physical activity Design and setting: We used an Australian population-based cancer database to estimate the total number of cancers to be diagnosed in 2025, by applying published ageand sex-specific population projections to current cancer incidence rates, and multiplying the projected numbers of cancers by estimates of population-attributable fractions. Main outcome measures: Projected number of preventable cancers that would be diagnosed in 2025. Results: Our projections suggest that there will be about 170 000 Australians diagnosed with cancer in 2025. This represents an increase of about 60% on the 2007 incidence. Almost 43 000 of these cancers (low estimate, 42 295; middle, 42657; high, 43 990) could be prevented through improvements to diet and physical activity levels, including through their impact on obesity. It is likely that this is an underestimate of the true figure. The most preventable cancer types in 2025 were estimated to be bowel cancer and female breast cancer (10 049 and 7273 preventable cases, respectively). Conclusions: About 25% of cancers, or about 43 000 cancers in 2025, can potentially be prevented through improvements in diet and physical activity. It is imperative that governments, clinicians and researchers act now if we are to reduce the significant future human and financial burden of cancer.

Details

Title: Estimating the future burden of cancers preventable by better diet and physical activity in Australia
Authors: P D Baade (Author) - Cancer Council Queensland
X Meng (Author) - Cancer Council Queensland
C Sinclair (Author) - Cancer Council Victoria
Philippa H Youl (Author) - Cancer Council Queensland
Publication details: Medical Journal of Australia, Vol.196(5), pp.337-340
Publisher: Australasian Medical Publishing Company Pty. Ltd.
Date published: 2012
DOI: 10.5694/mja11.11082
ISSN: 0025-729X
Copyright note: Copyright © 2012. The Medical Journal of Australia - reproduced with permission. Baade PD, Meng X, Sinclair C and Youl P. Estimating the future burden of cancers preventable by better diet and physical activity in Australia. Med J Aust 2012; 196 (5): 337-340.
Organisation Unit: University of the Sunshine Coast, Queensland; School of Health and Sport Sciences - Legacy
Language: English
Record Identifier: 99450605002621
Output Type: Journal article

Metrics

12 File views/ downloads

256 Record Views

14 Times Cited - Web of Science

InCites Highlights

These are selected metrics from InCites Benchmarking & Analytics tool, related to this output

Collaboration types: Domestic collaboration
Web Of Science research areas: Oncology

UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

This output has contributed to the advancement of the following goals:

Source: InCites