Journal article
Climate mediates the predictability of threats to marine biodiversity
Trends in Ecology & Evolution, Vol.40(5), pp.502-515
2025
PMID: 40121110
Abstract
Anthropogenic climate change is driving rapid changes in marine ecosystems across the global ocean. The spatiotemporal footprints of other anthropogenic threats, such as infrastructure development, shipping, and fisheries, will also inevitably shift under climate change, but we find that these shifts are not yet accounted for in most projections of climate futures in marine systems. We summarise what is known about threat-shifting in response to climate change, and identify sources of predictability that have implications for ecological forecasting. We recommend that, where possible, the dynamics of anthropogenic threats are accounted for in nowcasts, forecasts, and projections designed for spatial management and conservation planning, and highlight key themes for future research into threat dynamics in a changing ocean.
Details
- Title
- Climate mediates the predictability of threats to marine biodiversity
- Authors
- Kylie L. Scales (Corresponding Author) - University of the Sunshine Coast, Queensland, School of Science, Technology and EngineeringJessica A. Bolin - University of California, DavisDaniel C. Dunn - University of QueenslandElliott L. Hazen - NOAA National Marine Fisheries Service Southwest Fisheries Science CenterLee Hannah - Conservation InternationalDavid S. Schoeman - University of the Sunshine Coast, Queensland, School of Science, Technology and Engineering
- Publication details
- Trends in Ecology & Evolution, Vol.40(5), pp.502-515
- Publisher
- Cell Press
- Date published
- 2025
- DOI
- 10.1016/j.tree.2025.02.010
- ISSN
- 1872-8383
- PMID
- 40121110
- Grants
- Organisation Unit
- School of Science, Technology and Engineering
- Language
- English
- Record Identifier
- 991127100102621
- Output Type
- Journal article
Metrics
2 Record Views