Agricultural expansion and its impacts on climate change: evidence from Iran

Ali Akbar Barati; Hossein Azadi; Saghi Movahhed Moghaddam; Juergen Scheffran; Milad Dehghani Pour

doi:10.1007/s10668-023-02926-6

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Agricultural expansion and its impacts on climate change: evidence from Iran

Journal article

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Agricultural expansion and its impacts on climate change: evidence from Iran

Ali Akbar Barati, Hossein Azadi, Saghi Movahhed Moghaddam, Juergen Scheffran and Milad Dehghani Pour

Environment, Development and Sustainability, Vol.26, pp.5089-5115

2024

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10668-023-02926-6

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Abstract

global warming

agriculture and climate change

agricultural management

CO2 emission

sustainable agriculture

Excessive concentration of greenhouse gases in atmosphere emitted from human activities has been considerably changing the world's climate, especially in the last 50 years. Agriculture, as humans' food production system, has undoubtedly interrelated with climate change (CC). During current decades, the impacts of CC on agriculture have been properly investigated; however, the impacts of agriculture on CC have received lower attention. This may be due to the scarcity of long-term spatiotemporal climatic and agricultural data to analyze coupling trends and interactions. Benefiting from a comprehensive database and using structural equation modeling, this study seeks to investigate the contribution of agriculture to CC in Iran for more than half a century. For this, two indicators were developed to evaluate structural characteristics of agricultural expansion (AEI) and CC at the province level. Then, the effect of AEI on CC was investigated using the structural equation modeling technique. The results showed that AEI has not had a positive contribution to raising the long-term average surface temperature. Precisely, the provinces with a higher level of surface temperature have had a lower AEI, indicating that other sectors outweigh agriculture in exacerbating long-term CC in the country. Nevertheless, Iran still needs to improve and sustain its agricultural practices and technologies. The main conclusion of this study is that if the government and policymakers aspire to manage CC, they should have a more holistic and systematic view. In other words, not only do they need to consider all drivers of CC, but they also have to pay close attention to the network of relationships among the drivers.

Details

Title: Agricultural expansion and its impacts on climate change: evidence from Iran
Authors: Ali Akbar Barati (Corresponding Author) - University of Tehran
Hossein Azadi (Author) - University of Hamburg
Saghi Movahhed Moghaddam (Author) - Czech University of Life Sciences Prague
Juergen Scheffran (Author) - University of Hamburg
Milad Dehghani Pour (Author) - University of the Sunshine Coast, Queensland, Forest Research Institute
Publication details: Environment, Development and Sustainability, Vol.26, pp.5089-5115
Publisher: Springer Dordrecht
DOI: 10.1007/s10668-023-02926-6
ISSN: 1573-2975
Organisation Unit: Office of the Deputy Vice-Chancellor (Research and Innovation); School of Law and Society
Language: English
Record Identifier: 99716195002621
Output Type: Journal article

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Collaboration types: Domestic collaboration; International collaboration
Web Of Science research areas: Environmental Sciences; Green & Sustainable Science & Technology

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