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Published VersionCC BY V4.0, Open Access
Journal article
A foresight study on urban mobility: Singapore in 2040
Foresight, Vol.22(1), pp.37-52
2020
Abstract
Purpose
The transportation system in any city is complex and evolving, shaped by various driving forces and uncertainties in the social, economic, technological, political and environmental situations. Its development and demands upon it cannot be projected by simply extrapolating past and current trends. This paper aims to present a foresight study examining the future of urban mobility, focusing on the dense Asian city-state of Singapore. The objective is to develop scenarios for the future of urban mobility, to facilitate future policy implementation by highlighting long term challenges and opportunities for transportation planning in cities.
Design/methodology/approach
To create future scenarios, the authors first sought to identify key drivers of change through environmental scanning, expert interviews, focus group discussions and technology scanning. These drivers of change were subsequently used in a scenario planning workshop, organized to co-create alternative future visions for urban mobility 2040 with experts and local stakeholders.
Findings
Two scenarios emerged, called the Shared World and the Virtual World. For each scenario, the authors described the key features in terms of dominant transport modes for the movements of passengers and freight. Subsequently, the authors discussed possible implications of each scenario to the individual, society, industry and government.
Originality/value
As cities grow and develop, city and transport planners should not only address daily operational issues but also develop a well-informed, long-term understanding of the evolving mobility system to address challenges that lie beyond the five- or even ten-year horizon. By using scenario planning approach, the authors hope to prepare stakeholders for the uncertain futures that are continuously shaped by the decisions today.
Details
- Title
- A foresight study on urban mobility: Singapore in 2040
- Authors
- Seyed Mehdi Zahraei - Embry–Riddle Aeronautical UniversityJude Herijadi Kurniawan - Singapore University of Technology and DesignLynette Cheah (Corresponding Author) - Singapore University of Technology and Design
- Publication details
- Foresight, Vol.22(1), pp.37-52
- Publisher
- Emerald Publishing Limited
- Date published
- 2020
- DOI
- 10.1108/FS-05-2019-0044
- ISSN
- 1465-9832; 1463-6689
- Copyright note
- © Seyed Mehdi Zahraei, Jude Herijadi Kurniawan and Lynette Cheah. Published by Emerald Publishing Limited. This article is published under the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY 4.0) licence. Anyone may reproduce, distribute, translate and create derivative works of this article (for both commercial and non-commercial purposes), subject to full attribution to the original publication and authors. The full terms of this licence may be seen at http://creativecommons.org/licences/by/4.0/legalcode.
- Organisation Unit
- School of Science, Technology and Engineering
- Language
- English
- Record Identifier
- 991029391302621
- Output Type
- Journal article
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