Conference paper
Historical Scenarios as a Tool of Anticipatory Action Learning: Climate Adaptation, Futures Thinking, and Historical Memory
Conference of the International Federation of Scholarly Associations of Management (ISFAM), 10th (Paris, France, 08-Jul-2010–10-Jul-2010)
International Federation of Scholarly Associations of Management
2010
Abstract
This paper reflects on the report "Societal Responses to Significant Change: An Historical Analysis" an early deliverable in the Australian Government funded South East Queensland Climate Adaptation Research Initiative (SEQCARI). Societal Responses to Significant Change reviewed 33 case studies developed by 12 researchers that illustrate the range of contextual responses to change in order to better understand the historical precedents for human adaptive capacity. Both responses to major sudden change and incremental change are considered. No particular priority is given to climate change as adaptive capacity is not restricted to issues of climate change alone but is a generic human response to environmental, social, political and economic change.
Social learning and adaptive capacity does not occur in a vacuum. The historical profiling of responses to significant change illustrates how a range of factors contribute to a society's success or failure. These profiles take the form of scenarios that ground reflection on the future in how human societies and institutions have responded to challenges in the past. The historical scenarios offered in this paper are intended to clarify the interplay of these factors of scale and to elicit responses from stakeholder groups as part of the ongoing work of the SEQCARI project. Jim Dator's scenario archetypes of continued growth, collapse, disciplined society and transformation are used to order scenarios and to stimulate the thinking of stakeholder participants in the project encounter groups.
Details
- Title
- Historical Scenarios as a Tool of Anticipatory Action Learning: Climate Adaptation, Futures Thinking, and Historical Memory
- Authors
- Marcus P Bussey (Author) - University of the Sunshine Coast, Queensland, Sustainability Research ClusterR W (Bill) Carter (Author) - University of the Sunshine Coast, QueenslandJennifer Carter (Author) - University of the Sunshine Coast, QueenslandRobert Mangoyana (Author) - Griffith UniversityJulie M Matthews (Author) - The University of AdelaideDenzil Nash (Author) - University of the Sunshine CoastJeannette Oliver (Author) - University of the Sunshine CoastRussell Richards (Author) - The University of QueenslandDana C Thomsen (Author) - University of the Sunshine Coast, QueenslandMarcello Sano (Author) - Griffith UniversityTimothy F Smith (Author) - University of the Sunshine Coast, QueenslandEstelle Weber (Author) - The University of Queensland
- Conference details
- Conference of the International Federation of Scholarly Associations of Management (ISFAM), 10th (Paris, France, 08-Jul-2010–10-Jul-2010)
- Publisher
- International Federation of Scholarly Associations of Management
- Date published
- 2010
- Copyright note
- © The Author(s) 2010. The attached file is reproduced here in accordance with the copyright policy of the publisher. For information about this conference please refer to the conference's website or contact the authors.
- Organisation Unit
- Indigenous and Transcultural Research Centre; School of Social Sciences - Legacy; University of the Sunshine Coast, Queensland; Engage Research Lab; School of Law and Society; Sustainability Research Cluster
- Language
- English
- Record Identifier
- 99513779902621
- Output Type
- Conference paper
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