Future Scenarios as a Research Tool: Investigating Climate Change Impacts, Adaptation Options and Outcomes for the Great Barrier Reef, Australia

Louisa S Evans; Christina C Hicks; Pedro Fidelman; Renae C Tobin; Allison L Perry

doi:10.1007/s10745-013-9601-0

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Future Scenarios as a Research Tool: Investigating Climate Change Impacts, Adaptation Options and Outcomes for the Great Barrier Reef, Australia

Journal article

Open access

Peer reviewed

Future Scenarios as a Research Tool: Investigating Climate Change Impacts, Adaptation Options and Outcomes for the Great Barrier Reef, Australia

Louisa S Evans, Christina C Hicks, Pedro Fidelman, Renae C Tobin and Allison L Perry

Human Ecology, Vol.41(6), pp.841-857

2013

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10745-013-9601-0

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Abstract

adaptation

future scenarios

coastal ecosystems

governance

fishing

tourism

Great Barrier Reef

Australia

Climate change is a significant future driver of change in coastal social-ecological systems. Our knowledge of impacts, adaptation options, and possible outcomes for marine environments and coastal industries is expanding, but remains limited and uncertain. Alternative scenarios are a way to explore potential futures under a range of conditions. We developed four alternative future scenarios for the Great Barrier Reef and its fishing and tourism industries positing moderate and more extreme (2-3 Ã‚°C above pre-industrial temperatures) warming for 2050 and contrasting 'limited' and 'ideal' ecological and social adaptation. We presented these scenarios to representatives of key stakeholder groups to assess the perceived viability of different social adaptation options to deliver desirable outcomes under varied contexts.

Details

Title: Future Scenarios as a Research Tool: Investigating Climate Change Impacts, Adaptation Options and Outcomes for the Great Barrier Reef, Australia
Authors: Louisa S Evans (Author) - James Cook University
Christina C Hicks (Author) - James Cook University
Pedro Fidelman (Author) - University of the Sunshine Coast - Faculty of Arts and Business
Renae C Tobin (Author) - James Cook University
Allison L Perry (Author) - Oceana, Spain
Publication details: Human Ecology, Vol.41(6), pp.841-857
Publisher: Springer New York LLC
Date published: 2013
DOI: 10.1007/s10745-013-9601-0
ISSN: 0300-7839; 0300-7839
Organisation Unit: University of the Sunshine Coast, Queensland; Sustainability Research Cluster
Language: English
Record Identifier: 99447758402621
Output Type: Journal article
Research Statement: false

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Web Of Science research areas: Anthropology; Environmental Studies; Sociology

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